| |
2003 Gateway Conference
Schedule Rankings/Preview  |
There are some very impressive games in the 2003 Gateway
Football Conference schedules. In fact, the highest percentage of "money games"
over any other conference. As with the A-10 schedule ratings, the GFC's difficulty factor
is increased by the number of conference teams that finished in Pete's 2002 top-30. But
unlike the A-10, there many more IA and top-rated non-conference I-AA match-ups ... this
as the GFC has only 8 members (compared to the A-10's 11-team line-up). However, there are
certainly some "questionable" games at the opposite end of the spectrum. Even
though the combined GFC schedules contain 3 non-conference I-AA conference champs, 3 MAC,
2 Big-10, 2 SEC and 2 Big-12 road opponents ... multiple DII's (and even another NAIA)
plague the slate, keeping the overall conference rating below the current first-place
A-10.
What is exciting about the 2003 Gateway
race, is the fact that no less than 5 (of 8) members have a legitimate "shot" at
the conference crown and/or post-season. There are the traditional powers of UNI, YSU, WIU
and reigning national champs ... WKU. However, the pre-season has brought a great deal of
talk about upstart's Southern Illinois and Illinois St.. Obviously, conference is loaded
with post-season possibilities. So, scheduling will play the most important roll in the
2003 conference race ... let's get right to it.
Rank |
Team |
Total |
Rating |
1 |
Indiana
St. |
357.00 |
29.75 |
2 |
Northern
Iowa |
403.50 |
36.68 |
3 |
Southern
Illinois |
475.00 |
43.18 |
4 |
S.W.
Missouri St. |
483.50 |
43.95 |
5 |
Illinois
St. |
568.50 |
47.38 |
6 |
Western
Illinois |
523.50 |
47.59 |
7 |
Youngstown
St. |
628.00 |
52.33 |
8 |
Western
Kentucky |
622.50 |
56.59 |
| Overall Conference Rating: |
44.68 |
|
- Indiana St.: The Sycamores have, what
we feel, will be the most difficult schedule in the Gateway Football Conference ... if not
in the entire division. The "Trees" have always been an outstanding basketball
school, with the football program finishing at, or near, the bottom of the GFC. However,
coach McGuire has rebounded the club to finish 5-6 in 2002, playing a very difficult
schedule ... and the 2003 12-game slate is even worse. ISU opens the season at IA Ball
St., a team they shocked last year before falling in 2 overtimes. From there, they face
the IA hopeful ... Florida International and there high-powered offense. Then, the
"Sycs" travel to face in-state Big-10 foe Indiana. Things "ease up",
(if one can call anything on this schedule "easing"), as ISU faces back-to-back
non-conference games against OVC champs/play-off participants Murray St. and Eastern
Illinois. It is GFC opposition the rest of the way, which will include national champs WKU
as part of 4 teams in Pete's final top-30 a year ago. The lone bright spot on the schedule
is the home conference slate... facing Youngstown, Western Illinois and Western Kentucky
"back home again in Indiana". (okay, very poor Jim Neighbors 'rip-off').
- Northern Iowa: The Panthers look to
rebound from a very poor (by UNI standards) 2002 and this schedule will make that
difficult. Being the home of a dozen current NFL players ... including Jake Soliday, Eddie
Berlin, Dedrick Ward and Kurt Warner ... "purple" faithful pack the UNI-Dome
with expectations to see a traditional I-AA powerhouse. The same type of club that has won
8, of the last 12, GFC crowns. Last season, the Panthers finished at 5-6 ... with 5 of
those losses coming in conference. Who would believe this same team was in the semi's just
a year earlier. Coach Farley's club will open up at Big-12 power [and in state foe] Iowa
St.. The Panthers return home for DII "opener", prior to facing two solid
Southland opponents in Stephen F. Austin and Northwestern St.. From there on, it is GFC
opposition. The degree of difficulty is in UNI's 2003 "road slate" ... where
they will face Iowa St., Stephen F. Austin, rival Illinois St., Western Illinois and
Western Kentucky away from Cedar Falls.
- Southern Illinois: The Salukis look to establish themselves in 2003. With
the undisputed "king" of backfield ensembles; featuring all-American Tom
Koutsos, Purdue transfer Brandon Robinson and the pre-season "Payton
front-runner" Muhammad Abdulqaadir ... coach Kill's "Dawgs" look to return
to the option game and propel themselves to the top of the GFC. Their schedule will
certainly give them ample opportunities to test this rushing attack. SIU has a
11-game slate, featuring 6 home games. However, the difficulty still lies in the 'road
games'. They open with a DII, then face two OVC teams in SeMS and champ Murray St.. A
"breather" against DII St. Joe's, then Gateway for the duration. The conference
portion of the schedule will see "away" games against WIU, WKU and UNI. However,
SIU does have home games against YSU and Illinois St..
- S.W. Missouri St.: The Bears face the same conference challenges as the
rest, but two sub-IAA games spoil a schedule that includes the Big-12's Oklahoma St.. Fair
is fair ... being a 12-game season/slate, we will provide the same forgiveness to Randy
Ball's club, as we have done to the rest of the division. So we will accept two
sub-standard games. The one "saving grace" is that they face DII E. Central
University ... a traditional powerhouse, just waiting to "pull an upset".
However, the second sub-IAA game is another in the line of NAIA games that are riddled
throughout I-AA. The high difficulty factor comes as a result of their "away"
slate. Aside from a "treasury building" match-up at Oklahoma St., the Bears will
face arch-rival SeMS, Youngstown, Western Kentucky, Southern Illinois and Western Illinois
on-the-road. Looks like a steep hill for coach Ball to climb ... but they call him the
"dean" of coaches ... so who knows?
- Illinois St.: As with SIU, the Redbirds are receiving a great deal of
pre-season attention. This is one team that could "hold up their end of the
bargain". It was only a couple of years ago, when ILS made the semi's and this year's
schedule is favorable. Coach Johnson's club has a 12-game slate ... featuring 7 home
games. This includes big conference matches with rival Northern Iowa, Western Illinois and
Western Kentucky. The non-conference portion of the schedule includes a DII, Drake,
Florida Atlantic and a difficult test at Eastern Illinois. The Redbirds will face in-state
Big-10 foe in the Fighting Illini. With the rest of the OOC schedule, they may not be able
to afford this one if they expect to see a post-season bid. I say that week-4 game at EIU
as the "must win" for the Redbirds. If they can win against an OVC power, they
could build the needed confidence in the conference portion of the schedule. ILS has as
much, if not more, talent as anyone in the GFC. However, this is one team that I feel
would have benefited (financial concerns aside) from not playing a "money game".
As we mentioned, the home vs. away numbers are favorable. However, the Redbirds were
soundly defeated, at home, against EIU last year ... so it is more than possible for this
to happen, on-the-road, again in 2003. In addition, one has to expect, at least, 2 losses
in the powerful Gateway Football Conference. So, a fourth loss (even at the hands of
Illinois), will all but eliminate any post-season asperations for Denver Johnson's club.
Then again, ILS "ran the Gateway" in 1999. So again I say that the Redbirds must
win at Eastern Illinois.
- Western Illinois: 2003 marks the 100th year of Leatherneck football. The
'Necks look to defend their conference crown with an 11-game slate that includes 2 IA road
games. Playing only 11 games could impose a problem in this regard. 11 games (when YSU
& WKU have 12) puts WIU in a "must win" situation for one of these 2 IA
games. This being said, the MAC's Eastern Michigan have not had a successful season in
years and should provide that win. However, the hopes of a win against LSU are very slim.
If the Necks would fall against both IA opponents, they would have to win every remaining
game and/or win the conference crown to see the post-season. The only thing that keeps WIU
from boasting one of the toughest schedules in the conference, are games against a DII and
Tennessee-Martin ... both of those are at home. Then again, coach Patterson's club has
been playing very consistent football and dominated the GFC last season.
- Youngstown State: Coach Heacock's Penguins have gone two straight season's
without a playoff berth and this has not gone unnoticed by the 'guin fans. However, this
year's schedule is "just what the doctor ordered" if YSU expects to be playing
in December. As you might have noticed, the Penguins schedule rating is far below most of
the conference. A 12-game slate offers 7 home games. In addition, a game with long-term
rival IA Kent St. (for the Shwebels Challenge trophy) will seem like a home game as it is
within easy traveling distance for the Penguin faithful. As with other clubs, YSU has two
sub-IAA games (after all, it was then YSU coach Jim Tressel that started playing 2 DII's
when the club was an independent and starving for games. Now it seems to be an epidemic
through the entire division)... but again we offer some lenience with a 12-game schedule.
As with SMS, one of the 2 DII games comes against a powerful team ... in this case
Slippery Rock. The I-AA non-conference matches are also favorable ... facing Florida
Atlantic and Liberty. The home portion of the conference schedule is evenly split, with
YSU hosting Western Illinois and Western Kentucky. Although, there are some worries with
away games at Northern Iowa and Illinois St.. Overall, a very light schedule should help
the Penguins back to their winning ways.
- Western Kentucky: The defending national champs will enter the 2003 season
with a new head-coach and the lightest schedule in the conference. This is hard to
believe, seeing as though this 12-game slate features a rekindling of the rivalry with
Eastern Kentucky and a date with Auburn. However, a DII game and another one of those NAIA
matches completely drop this schedule's strength. The conference slate is going to be
tricky, as first-year coach Elson's Toppers have to face Western Illinois and Youngstown
St. on-the-road. The remainder of the conference schedule favors the Hilltoppers. The key
to the WKU season will be a victories over EKU (hard to do with such a rivalry) and one of
the two road games against YSU or WIU. Last year, WKU split in two matches with WIU and
played a very close win against a "fair" Penguin club ... so this is no easy
task. Many are not expecting much from the Hilltoppers, as they have lost legendary Jack
Harbaugh. However, don't count on it ... Elson is a long-time assistant of Harbaugh and
knows how to call a game on both sides of the ball.
As we said in the preface, there are an amazing number
IA matches, solid I-AA games and even a couple of quality DII matches. However, the
quantity of sub-IAA meetings balances out these other games. The Gateway crown will be
heavily contested this year. One thing to watch are the traditional rivalry games. WKU,
YSU and SMS have rivalries that are outside of the Gateway (EKU {OVC}, Kent St {IA}. and
SeMS {OVC} respectively). The remainder of the conference face rivals within the
conference. Not so much YSU, as their rival is IA ... but WKU and SMS could easily lose to
their rivals ... forcing the need for an additional conference win for both clubs. The GFC
winner could easily have 2, or 3, conference losses this year. Also, with WKU winning the
championship, the GFC may finally have a chance at receiving 3 play-off bids in 2003 and
if the clubs "beat each other up" that will not happen. |
|
Back
|
|