What
is Pete's Power Poll?
-Pete's is the country's only
poll that concentrates, almost exclusively,
on the play-off conferences/teams of NCAA Division
I-AA/FBS football. It's purpose is to determine
the 16 teams that should be awarded a berth
into the NCAA Division-I play-off. The poll
is completely driven on performance, not the
opinions of individuals; this makes the poll
almost completely unbiased. Pete's means no
disrespect to the Ivy, SWAC, or Mid-major programs
... we merely chose to rank those clubs that
are eligible for, and historically have participated
in the tournament. The SWAC and Ivy have chosen
not to participate in the play-off, and even
though they are eligible, there has never been
a mid-major club selected for the play-off.
That will change in 2010. This year, the Big South and Northeast Conferences (the later considered mid-major) will both receive an automatic berth in the FCS/I-AA play-off. It will take some time for the poll to develop
throughout the season, as teams play more games.
The #1 team in any given week is just that ...
the #1 team at that point in the season, given
the games played so far. If you have any questions
or comments, feel free to email Pete's.
For those of you that are new to the poll,
here is a brief explanation:
- There are many factors that go into our
polls. These factors are covered below the
poll. However, the initial preseason ranking
is the basis for the remainder of the season.
The ranking is specifically designed so that
even the team that begins in the last position
can still finish the season at number-1.
- Again this year, Pete's Power Poll will
cover ten (10) conferences. As is our custom,
the initial poll rewards the national champion from the previous year and top team in each
of the covered conferences. This year's preseason #1 team is Villanova; which is also the 2009 national champion. The order of these teams
is determined by the preseason
conference poll. The exception to
this is the preseason #1, which is always
awarded to the defending national champions.
This year's top team is Villanova; the 2-10
spots are the top-ranked team from each conference.
Also, the new teams are placed in the poll
around the 50th position. The new clubs are
placed in the middle of the poll, as schedule
strength usually would keep these clubs at,
or near, the bottom.
- Pete's follows only the play-off conferences
and leagues that contain post-season eligible
teams. We do not track mid-major conferences
and their members. With no disrespect to the
Ivy, SWAC, or Mid-major programs ... we merely
chose to rank those clubs that are eligible
for, and historically have participated in
the play-off. Once again, the Northeast Conference has an automatic bid in 2010, so these clubs will be added to our poll. To be fair, they will all be added in the #50 spot to start the season. Additionally, there will not be representative from the NEC in our preseason top-10 until next season.
- This year Pete's welcomes Georgia State Panthers, Lamar Cardinals, and UT-San Antonio Roadrunners to Division-I football. The Panthers play six (6) FCS/I-AA and one (1) FBS/IA team in 2010 ...they will begin in our ranking at #50. The Cardinals will play seven (7) FCS/I-AA teams in 2010 ...they will begin at the #50 position as well. The Roadrunners are just beginning their football program, and will red-shirt the entire team for 2010 ...they will not be in Pete's Power Poll for this season.
- Generally, teams that are idle will remain
in their current position, so as not to be
penalized. If there are ties in rank, it is
possible that an idle team may change a position.
- It seems that many pundits have little
to do with their time, other than "nit
pick" others that love and promote I-AA/FCS
football. With this in mind, Pete's does not
sample other individuals ...so technically
the Power Poll is not a "poll".
The Power Poll is a computerized ranking similar
to (although we feel far superior to) the
BCS is IA/FBS ball. One of the most distinctive
differences between the Power Poll and a BCS
poll, is that readers of Pete's will see how
all of the clubs progress throughout the entire
season. We do not wait until the fourth or
fifth week of the season to publish our first
ranking. In the beginning of the season, it is
very common for clubs to move up or down in
tremendous fashion. So don't lose faith; as
it is more than possible for a club at the
bottom to move up to the top. Obviously, the
poll will become far more accurate as the
season progresses, when teams have more games
played ... especially once conference play
begins, and teams have more opponents in common.
- One final note; Pete's does not take into
account any play-off games in the final rankings.
It is not fair to take performance into account
when no more than 20-teams are playing. So
the final Pete's Power Poll is published at
the end of the regular season.
Here is the Week-11, 2010 Pete's Power
Poll (Games through 11/13/10):
Rank |
Team |
Conference |
| 1 |
Delaware |
Colonial |
| 2 |
Appalachian State |
Southern |
| 3 |
Jacksonville State |
Ohio Valley |
| 4 |
Stephen F. Austin |
Southland |
| 5 |
Montana State |
Big Sky |
| 6 |
Northern Iowa |
MVFC |
| 7 |
Bethune-Cookman |
Mid-Eastern |
| 8 |
William & Mary |
Colonial |
| 9 |
New Hampshire |
Colonial |
| 10 |
Eastern Washington |
Big Sky |
| 11 |
Villanova |
Colonial |
| 12 |
North Dakota State |
MVFC |
| 13 |
S. Carolina State |
Mid-Eastern |
| 14 |
Wofford |
Southern |
| 15 |
Montana |
Big Sky |
| 16 |
S.E. Missouri State |
Ohio Valley |
| 17 |
Liberty |
Big South |
| 18 |
Western Illinois |
MVFC |
| 19 |
Sacramento State |
Big Sky |
| 20 |
Southern Utah |
Great West |
| 21 |
Richmond |
Colonial |
| 22 |
Cal-Poly |
Great West |
| 23 |
Lehigh |
Patriot |
| 24 |
Chattanooga |
Southern |
| 25 |
Massachusetts |
Colonial |
| 26 |
Robert Morris |
Northeast |
| 27 |
Georgia Southern |
Southern |
| 28 |
McNeese State |
Southland |
| 29 |
Florida A&M |
Mid-Eastern |
| 30 |
James Madison |
Colonial |
| 31 |
Murray State |
Ohio Valley |
| 32 |
Weber State |
Big Sky |
| 33 |
Colgate |
Patriot |
| 34 |
Indiana State |
MVFC |
| 35 |
Old Dominion |
Indy |
| 36 |
Illinois State |
MVFC |
| 37 |
Northern Arizona |
Big Sky |
| 38 |
Tennessee-Martin |
Ohio Valley |
| 39 |
Central Arkansas |
Southland |
| 40 |
Elon |
Southern |
| 41 |
South Dakota State |
MVFC |
| 42 |
Missouri State |
MVFC |
| 43 |
Central Connecticut St. |
Northeast |
| 44 |
Stony Brook |
Big South |
| 45 |
Southern Illinois |
MVFC |
| 46 |
Hampton |
Mid-Eastern |
| 47 |
Furman |
Southern |
| 47 |
Youngstown State |
MVFC |
| 48 |
Coastal Carolina |
Big South |
| 49 |
UC-Davis |
Great West |
| 50 |
Northwestern State |
Southland |
| 51 |
Eastern Kentucky |
Ohio Valley |
| 52 |
Duquesne |
Northeast |
| 53 |
Texas State |
Southland |
| 54 |
Maine |
Colonial |
| 55 |
Sam Houston State |
Southland |
| 56 |
Bryant |
Indy |
| 57 |
Rhode Island |
Colonial |
| 58 |
Holy Cross |
Patriot |
| 59 |
Norfolk State |
Mid-Eastern |
| 60 |
Samford |
Southern |
| 61 |
Georgia State |
Indy |
| 62 |
South Dakota |
Great West |
| 63 |
Georgetown |
Patriot |
| 64 |
Tennessee Tech |
Ohio Valley |
| 65 |
Fordham (Indy) |
Patriot |
| 66 |
Albany |
Northeast |
| 67 |
Northern Colorado |
Big Sky |
| 69 |
Southeastern Louisiana |
Southland |
| 70 |
Portland State |
Big Sky |
| 71 |
Wagner |
Northeast |
| 72 |
Nicholls State |
Southland |
| 73 |
Monmouth |
Northeast |
| 74 |
Gardner-Webb |
Big South |
| 75 |
Eastern Illinois |
Ohio Valley |
| 76 |
Morgan State |
Mid-Eastern |
| 77 |
North Dakota |
Great West |
| 78 |
Western Carolina |
Southern |
| 79 |
Idaho State |
Big Sky |
| 80 |
NC Central |
Mid-Eastern |
| 81 |
VMI |
Big South |
| 82 |
Delaware State |
Mid-Eastern |
| 83 |
Lafayette |
Patriot |
| 84 |
Citadel |
Southern |
| 85 |
Tennessee State |
Ohio Valley |
| 86 |
Sacred Heart |
Northeast |
| 87 |
Charleston-Southern |
Big South |
| 88 |
North Carolina A&T |
Mid-Eastern |
| 89 |
Towson |
Colonial |
| 90 |
Lamar* |
Indy |
| 91 |
Howard |
Mid-Eastern |
| 92 |
Austin Peay |
Ohio Valley |
| 93 |
St. Francis (PA) |
Northeast |
| 94 |
Presbyterian |
Big South |
| 95 |
Savannah State |
Indy |
| 96 |
Bucknell |
Patriot |
|
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Teams in yellow were idle.
Below is list of this week's change in conference
performance. Simply put, this is the amount
of improvement the total conference has made
over the previous week:
Big Movers:
On the Rise:
Each week will will highlight
the clubs that have made dramatic moves
...up or down. Since there are no previous week's game in a preseason list, we have decided to show some clubs that we feel will perform substantially above expectations:
- Jacksonville State
- Stephen F. Austin
- Northern Iowa
- Florida A&M
- Lehigh
Going the Wrong Way:
Each week will will highlight the clubs that
have made dramatic moves ...up or down. Since there are no previous week's game in a preseason list, we have decided to show some clubs that we feel will perform substantially below expectations:
- William and Mary
- Villanova
- Robert Morris
- Northern Arizona
- Central Arkansas
Factors used in Pete's
Power Poll:
There are several factors that
are involved in our poll. In brief, they are:
-
Points for and against.
-
Margin of victory: we do
limit the margins so a team is not devastated
or over-compensated for an exceptionally
good, or poor performance.
-
Strength of the opposition
(where the opponent is ranked in the previous
week's poll).
-
Home vs. away vs. neutral
field.
-
Conference vs. non-Conference.
-
IA/FBS vs. I-AA/FCS vs.
non-scholarship vs. sub-FCS/I-AA: Teams
in our poll are awarded more points for
victories over IA opposition, less points
for DII and mid-major games. Conversely,
a loss to a IA clubs is not penalized as
harshly as a team ranked in Pete's Poll
... and a loss to a mid-major or sub-IAA
opponent is penalized more harshly. We do
this in order to discourage teams from playing
outside their own division.
All games vs. non covered teams (that is
they are not listed in Pete's Power Poll)
are given a FLAT set of points. We realize
that other conferences and divisions have
rankings, but it is far too much work to rank
every team in FBS/IA, FCS/I-AA, DII and sub-DII.
We do rank IA and DII top-50 clubs with a
higher value ... but it is a flat value. In
other words, if the factor for a IA club is
100 (on a scale of 1 to 100, 100 being the
best) we may use a factor for a top-50 club
of 125. However, all of the top-50 clubs are
ranked at this same level ... whether they
are #1, or #49. (We use the Congrove Computer
Rankings to establish the factors for IA clubs).
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